The Coming Geopolitical Battleground in Bangladesh : Future of Bangladesh

on

 

The Coming Geopolitical Battleground in Bangladesh



Bangladesh stands at a critical juncture. With four great powers—America, China, Russia, and India—all maneuvering for influence, our nation risks becoming the staging ground for a proxy war that could reshape South Asia forever.

A Surge of High‑Level Visits

In recent months, a flurry of diplomatic and military visitors has set off alarm bells:

  • Lieutenant General Joel B. Voyle from the U.S. Pacific Command quietly met with General Waqar‑uz‑Zaman in Dhaka.

  • UN Secretary‑General António Guterres made an unprecedented visit to refugee camps in Cox’s Bazar.

  • Dr. Muhammad Yunus reportedly assured Chinese leaders, “I will give you whatever you want.”

  • Behind the scenes, General Waqar’s trip to Russia hinted at deeper strategic talks underway.

These aren’t coincidences—they signal that Bangladesh is being courted as a logistics hub for forces preparing to back the Arakan Army (AA) against Myanmar’s junta.

What Is a “Proxy War,” and Why Bangladesh?

On paper, Bangladesh’s army won’t fire the first shot. Instead, it will:

  1. Guard supply corridors into northern Rakhine State.

  2. Serve as backup logistics for AA fighters—and potentially ARSA and U.S. Marine advisers—if they’re attacked.

In military parlance, that’s a classic proxy war, where local troops support allied insurgents rather than engaging directly in combat.

The Bay of Bengal Base Plan

Last May, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina astonished many by mentioning a proposed “Christian state” spanning Chittagong Hill Tracts, India’s Mizoram, and parts of Myanmar. She also hinted at building a base in the Bay of Bengal—reportedly with U.S. blessing.

At the same time, reports emerged of:

  • Foreign “disappearances” in Mizoram.

  • Rising tensions in Manipur’s Kukiland.

  • Tripura’s royal family warning Delhi about cash‑strapped Dr. Yunus.

All these threads are weaving together into a design: transform eastern Bangladesh into a launchpad for operations aimed at liberating—and then controlling—Rakhine State’s strategic ports at Sittwe and Kyaukpyu.

A Grand Coalition—and a Multi‑Front Assault

According to insiders, the U.S. aims to unite:

  • The Buddhist Arakan Army

  • The Muslim ARSA

  • The Christian Chin National Front

…under one command, backed by Bangladesh’s 10th, 17th, and 24th Infantry Divisions (in logistics roles). The heart of this operation would be a new “Shilkhali base” in Cox’s Bazar, complete with Turkish‑supplied artillery and drone launches from Cox’s Bazar airbase.

The goal? Seize control of China’s $9 billion Kyaukpyu deep‑sea port and India’s Kaladan corridor in Sittwe—and, ultimately, fracture Myanmar into manageable zones of influence worth trillions in trade and resources.

Superpower Reactions: A Powder Keg

If Bangladesh indeed backs a rebellion in Rakhine, no one will stand idly by:

  • India is already positioned to threaten Bangladesh’s “Chicken’s Neck” corridor, turning it into an “Elephant’s Neck” if opportunity strikes.

  • China will defend its Belt & Road investments—especially Kyaukpyu—by all means necessary.

  • Russia, having once secured Bangladesh’s independence in 1971, just sent warships to Chittagong in an unmistakable show of force.

Should conflict ignite, Bangladesh could be caught between three powers with global reach—and an internal resistance that will not easily be quelled.

The Human Cost—and the Fate of Bangladesh

What happens if our army, with no real combat experience beyond our borders, plunges into this maelstrom? Past conflicts in Gaza and Afghanistan offer a chilling preview: years—or decades—of fighting, massive civilian suffering, and eventually, a harrowed, fragmented state.

Meanwhile, figures like Dr. Yunus—armed with foreign passports—will slip away. The foreign aid and “reconstruction funds” meant for Cox’s Bazar will line the pockets of a few, leaving ordinary Bangladeshis to pick up the pieces.

Conclusion: A Choice for Our Nation

Bangladesh is at a crossroads. We can:

  1. Embrace this role as a proxy battleground—and risk national disintegration.

  2. Assert our neutrality, refusing to let our territory become the launchpad for foreign ambitions.

The consequences of our choice will echo for generations. Will we stand firm, safeguarding our sovereignty and the safety of our people? Or will we watch our beloved homeland become another “burnt earth” of geopolitical games?

Location: Bangladesh

Comments

Post a Comment